Currency trends can affect the yields on your international stock funds. Here’s how you can protect yourself. Question: Does the low value of the U.S. dollar today compared to foreign currencies make investing in international stock funds less attractive than when the dollar is strong? —Larry Mulcahey, Bloomington, Illinois Answer: The value of the dollar versus other currencies in and of itself doesn’t determine whether foreign stock funds are more or less attractive to U.S. investors like you. What does matter, however, is whether the dollar rises or falls against currencies after you invest in a foreign stock fund. And there the relationship is clear, if somewhat counterintuitive. If the dollar weakens after you’ve bought an international equity fund, the currency effect will act as a tailwind of sorts, boosting the foreign fund’s return. Conversely, if the dollar strengthens, the currency effect will work against you, lowering the return. (This assumes that the foreign stock fund you’ve bought doesn’t hedge against currency fluctuations. If it does, then the dollar’s movements will have little or no effect on your fund’s return.) A quick example shows why this is the case. Let’s say you invest $10,000 in an international stock fund that buys foreign company shares denominated in euros. Before the fund can invest your money, it’s got to convert your dollars to euros. Assuming the euro trades at $1.54 - which was the case recently - your ten grand would fetch 6,494 euros ($10,000 divided by $1.54). If the value of the fund’s stocks rises 10%, you would have a gain of 649 euros, making your investment worth 7,143 euros. If the value of the euro remains the same, then translating your euros back to dollars would give you $11,000 (7,143 euros times $1.54), giving you the same 10% return in dollars that you got in euros. But what if the euro rises in value to, say, $1.60 (which is the same as the dollar weakening)? Well, in that case your 7,143 euros would give you $11,429 (7,143 x $1.60), which translates to a 14% return in U.S. dollar terms compared to 10% in euros. If, however, the euro falls in value (i.e., the dollar strengthens) to, say, $1.48, then your 7,143 euros would give you $10,572 (7,143 x $1.48), which means your 10% gain in euros would be whittled down to 5.7% in dollars. I should note that this little scenario simplifies things in many ways. I’ve rounded the figures, limited the example to one currency, ignored currency exchange and transaction cost and I haven’t considered what effect economic trends beyond currency fluctuations might have on the relative values of U.S. vs. foreign shares. But the basic idea is that if you buy a foreign stock fund and the dollar then weakens, you’ll get a boost to the return generated in foreign currency, while a strengthening dollar will lower your return. The question is, how, if at all, should you factor this tailwind-headwind effect of currency fluctuations into your investing strategy? Well, I suppose if you really knew that the dollar was going to drop further in value you could buy foreign stock funds or increase your existing position in them hoping to get a currency boost. Or if you thought the dollar was going to rebound, you could hold off buying foreign shares or trim your holdings. Or, for that matter, you could simply buy or sell foreign currencies. But I think that’s a dicey game for individual investors. Sure, looking back it’s easy to see that the dollar has been on a multi-year slide against the euro and other currencies. But as the example above shows, it’s what happens from this point on that will determine whether currency trends improve or erode your return. And that’s where things get murky. I don’t think anyone is predicting a big recovery in the dollar’s value anytime soon. But some observers of the international investing scene say that with the dollar’s value at or near historic lows and the Federal Reserve probably nearing the end of its rate-cutting phase, the dollar is likely close to a bottom and could even rebound a bit from here. Others contend that underlying economic fundamentals - such as our hefty budget and trade deficits - argue for continued weakness. My position? I don’t try to predict currency trends. Instead, I advocate allocating a portion of your stock portfolio to foreign funds for the long-term return and diversification benefit they can add to an all-USA portfolio, not as a currency play. Since foreign and domestic shares don’t always move in synch with each other, owning both can reduce the volatility of your portfolio without sacrificing long-term returns. Reasonable people can disagree about how much of your portfolio you should devote to foreign shares as well as how you should get that exposure. I’ve suggested 10% to 30% as a guideline, and I think broadly diversified foreign stock funds and ETFs like the ones on our Money 70 list of recommended funds are the best way to go for most people, as opposed to buying funds that concentrate on specific countries or regions. Whatever percentage you choose and whichever funds you buy, be sure to rebalance your portfolio once a year. This way, your foreign funds won’t become too large a piece of your holdings when foreign shares are booming (whether aided by favorable currency trends or not), or shrink below your target percentage when your U.S. holdings are churning out bigger gains. So unless you believe you have unique insights into the currency markets and the economic trends driving foreign markets, I say it makes no sense to try to time your moves in and out of foreign stock funds to take advantage of currency swings. If you want to do so without such knowledge, that’s fine. But you’ll be speculating, not investing. 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Even when markets are headed south, a 401(k) is a great vehicle for retirement savings. Question: Is it still a good idea to contribute to my 401(k) right now even though the economy isn’t doing too well? -JoAnna Jones, Bossier City, Louisiana Answer: Let me see, how do I say this to get across just how strongly I feel about this answer? How about: Definitely. No question. Positively. Absolutely. Without a doubt. Or, to put it another way: Yes. I can understand why you might feel anxious about contributing to your 401(k) account at a time when the national mood is so gloomy. It’s hard not to let the travails of the moment color your long-term planning. But the fact is, when you invest money in your 401(k), improving your retirement prospects over the long-term should be your focus. When you’re contributing to your 401(k) early in your career - say, when you’re in your 20s or 30s - you know that this money is going to be invested at least another 20 to 40 years. So as long as you’re investing in a diversified mix of stock and bond funds, it doesn’t make much sense to get caught up in the short-term ups and downs of the market. If you’re on the verge of retirement, then clearly you’ve got to give more consideration to what might happen to the value of your account over the next few years. You don’t want to see your 401(k)’s value decimated by market setbacks on the eve of retirement. But even then the answer isn’t to stop contributing. Indeed, the money you invest in the last few years before you call it a career may very well turn out to be the funds that will sustain you in the later stages of a retirement that could last 30 or more years. Rather, the way to protect your nest egg as you approach retirement is to gradually shift more of your 401(k) portfolio from stocks to bonds. I realize, however, that concern about the short-term can often blind us to long-term considerations. So I’d like to offer three more immediate reasons why you shouldn’t abandon your 401(k) now. You’ll be giving up a tax break, and possibly free money. One of the nice little advantages of participating in a 401(k) is that you get to invest pre-tax dollars, which lowers your current tax bill. What’s more, the investment gains on your contributions - as well as the gains on your gains - grow without the drag of taxes. Yes, you do eventually pay tax on this money at withdrawal. But years of tax-deferred compounding allows you build a bigger nest egg than you could with taxable accounts alone, which in turn allows you to live a more comfy retirement. And if your 401(k) plan is among the majority that provides employer matching contributions - typically 50 cents for every dollar you contribute up to 6% of salary - then bowing out of your plan now is like giving up free money. Walking away from these and many other benefits of 401(k)s just makes no sense, even if the economic outlook at the moment appears tenuous. You may be foregoing attractive returns. There are no guarantees when it comes to the financial markets. But there’s a good chance that the money you invest in your 401(k) when the markets are struggling will give you some of the highest returns you’ll earn over the long run. This is a somewhat counterintuitive concept. People tend to feel most comfortable about investing after the markets have been on a roll and have racked up big gains. But the exuberance that naturally occurs during bull markets eventually leads investors to bid up share prices to blimpish levels. That diminishes the potential for future gains much the same way that overpaying for a house does. When things are looking more bleak and investors are wary, on the other hand, share prices are generally lower relative to companies’ long-term earnings power. That translates to a greater potential for higher long-term returns than when things are going swimmingly. I’m not suggesting that 401(k) investors should try to time their contributions to any particular market outlook. That would be foolish. But at times like today when pessimism is pervasive, it’s not a bad idea to remind yourself that the money you contribute when your fellow investors are most skittish often ends up racking up higher returns. You might not resume contributing if you stop now. Another nice advantage of contributing to a 401(k) is that it forces you to live a bit below your means. Your contribution comes out of your paycheck before you get your hands on it, so your spending naturally conforms to what’s left - that is, your income after you’ve allowed for saving. If you suspend your 401(k) contributions, however, you’ll be giving up this little psychological advantage. Your paycheck will be larger, thus freeing up more money for you to spend. Even if you plan on resuming your contributions when the economy improves, doing so may be more difficult than you think, especially after you’ve gotten used to having that extra money to throw around. It’s always harder to scale back your lifestyle than it is to ratchet it up. So I think there’s a real danger that what you intend as a temporary hiatus from your 401(k) could turn into a long-term absence that seriously impairs your retirement prospects. Bottom line: It’s challenge enough to create a retirement nest egg these days even if you contribute faithfully to your 401(k) throughout your career. Start moving in and out of your plan based on how you feel about the economy and that challenge could become a mission impossible. Filed under Uncategorized
With inflation outpacing yields on savings and money market accounts, what’s a saver to do? Question: I understand that you should have at least three months’ living expenses in a reserve account. But the interest rates available on savings and money-market accounts are so low that you end up losing purchasing power after inflation. Long-term CDs aren’t an option for cash reserves because you’d have to pay a penalty to get to your money and bonds have too much interest-rate risk. So what’s a person to do with his rainy day fund at a time like this? -Jeffrey Utech Answer: I hear you. Last week, in their ongoing attempt to breathe life into a sagging economy, Federal Reserve chairman Big Ben Bernanke and his merry band of Open Market Committee members cut the target rate for federal funds for the seventh time since September, lowering it to just 2%. As a result of those moves, short-term rates on everything from bank savings and money-market accounts to money-market mutual funds have been on a downward slide the past eight months and now average less than 2.5%. Inflation, meanwhile, has been cruising along at an annualized rate of 3.1% the first three months of this year. So it’s no wonder you have the feeling of being on a treadmill that’s going faster than you can run. But as disconcerting as it is knowing that your savings stash is losing purchasing power at the moment, you’ve got to be careful not to make any rash moves that could make the situation worse. After all, the primary purpose of a cash reserve is to be available when you need it. You want to be able to get at this money immediately without paying a significant penalty. And you don’t want to worry that some of it won’t be there when you need it because the market has taken a nosedive or interest rates have spiked. So that pretty much limits you to savings accounts, money-market funds and short-term CDs. Naturally you want to earn a competitive return on these vehicles, which you can do by sticking to money-market funds with the lowest expenses and shopping for accounts with the most attractive rates. Similarly, you’ll want to consider whether, depending on your tax rate and the relative yields on taxable and tax-free funds, you can do better in a tax-exempt fund. As of last week, average yields for tax-free money-market funds were around 2%, which for someone in the 25% tax bracket translates to a taxable equivalent of 2.7%. That’s a half percentage point or more than the average taxable money fund was paying. But you don’t want the desire for higher yields to take you into investments that are inappropriate for cash reserves. So whenever I hear people talking about supposedly savvy ways to get “safe” high yields or returns - buying tax liens, foreign bank CDs, various types of annuities that carry high surrender fees, etc. - the first thought that pops into my mind (and I think should pop into theirs too) is whether you want to take a chance with money you need to be as secure and liquid as cash. I believe the answer is no. And I think the experience of people who lost money in supposedly secure subprime mortgage-related investments and found themselves locked into auction rate preferred securities that were touted as substitutes for money funds illustrates the perils of reaching for yield. I realize that this means there may be periods when you have to accept puny returns on your cash reserves, maybe even returns that lag inflation. But you’ve got to work with what the market delivers. You can’t just manufacture the returns you would like to receive, at least not without subjecting yourself to greater risks. Of course, you can and should be willing to accept more risk for the possibility of higher returns in the investment portion of your portfolio - that is, the assets you’re investing for the longer term. And, indeed, it’s that part of your holdings - not your cash reserves or rainy day fund - that you’re relying on to keep your purchasing power ahead of inflation. When it comes to your cash reserves, however, safety of principal is your main goal. So resist the urge to stretch for higher, riskier yields and instead stick to secure short-term savings vehicles, even if they’re currently paying puny yields. Rates will eventually tick up again. And when they do, you want to be sure your rainy day fund will still be around to take advantage of them. Got a question? Ask the expert. Filed under Uncategorized
There are many factors that will help you determine whether you’ll be able to retire early. Here’s how to figure it out. Answer: The fact that you’ve saved a considerable sum and aren’t going into retirement saddled with debt, certainly increases your chances of being able to retire early. Still, I can’t give you a definitive answer to your question. I would have to know a whole lot more about your finances to even begin to take a reasonable stab at it. But I can tell you how to assess your situation so that you can figure out on your own or with help from an adviser whether it’s realistic for you to call it a career within the next five years. As I see it, you’ve got to size up your shot at an early retirement from two different perspectives - a financial and a lifestyle point of view. The two are related, of course, but we’ll tackle them separately, starting with the financial side. Whether you’re evaluating your prospects for retiring early or at a normal retirement age (whatever that may be), the fundamental financial question you face is this: Can the retirement savings you’ve accumulated in 401(k)s and other accounts generate enough sustainable income combined with Social Security and any pensions to support you for the rest of your life? You’ve provided a rough sketch of one aspect of your finances - namely, the assets that you can draw on during retirement. But in order to tell whether that nest egg is sufficient, you’ve also got to consider the other side of the ledger, which you haven’t mentioned - i.e., expenses. You need to know how much money you will need on an annual or monthly basis to live comfortably once you’ve left your job. I’m not talking about a guesstimate here. I’m talking about putting together a detailed retirement budget that lays out the actual expenses you’ll face at the time you retire and projects your likely spending even into the later years of retirement. Only after you do that can you judge whether the size of your savings stash will be large enough to support you throughout a retirement that, in the case of you and your wife, could last upwards of 40 years. Unless you’re some sort of a math wiz, this isn’t an assessment you can do with a pencil and paper. There are too many variables and uncertainties. So you have two options: go to an adviser who can crunch the numbers for you, or run the numbers yourself using an online calculator, such as Fidelity’s Retirement Income Planner. One of the features I like about this tool is its interactive budget worksheet that allows you to break down your spending into nearly 50 different categories. You can even assign different rates of inflation to different expenses if you think, say, your health care costs will rise faster than what you spend on travel. What’s more, you can even budget for expenses that you know will disappear at some point in the future, such as a car loan or home equity loan that you’ll pay off. By plugging in this information along with details on your retirement investments and other resources plus an estimate of how long you’ll live (I generally recommend planning at least until your early ’90s), you will come away with a forecast of how many years your savings and other income sources will likely support you. Pitfalls of retiring young It’s important to remember, though, that early retirement presents some special challenges. If you retire at 55, you’ll have at least seven years until you can begin collecting Social Security. That means you’ll be relying more heavily on your savings in those early years, which increases the possibility of going through your nest egg too soon. You also can’t qualify for coverage under Medicare until you’re 65. That may not be a problem if you can count on retiree health coverage from your former employer. But less than a third of companies offer this benefit. So although you may qualify for coverage under COBRA for a while, chances are you will eventually have to buy your own health insurance policy. You’ll definitely want to price private policies so you know ahead of time how much of your budget you’ll have to devote to this expense. Then there’s the issue of whether you can access the money in your tax-deferred retirement accounts without paying a 10% penalty in addition to the regular income tax you must pay. If you’ve retired from your job and you’re 55, you can tap your 401(k) money without being hit with a penalty, but there’s still the practical issue of what options your ex-employer offers to retirees for getting to those funds. (Can you pull out money whenever you like as often as you like, or are there restrictions?) As for your IRA, a 10% penalty generally applies to withdrawals you make before turning 59 1/2. You can sidestep the penalty by taking “72(t)” withdrawals - essentially, substantially equal periodic payments based on your life expectancy. But the rules governing these payments can be complex and a bit of a hassle. Be aware too that there are unscrupulous advisers out there using the bait of penalty-free 72(t) withdrawals to lure people into high-priced investments and even fraudulent investing schemes. So to the extent you can, you’ll probably want to tap taxable accounts early in retirement and let those tax-deferred babies continue to compound without the drag of taxes. Lifestyle planning Now to the lifestyle issue. Regardless of your retirement age, it’s always a good idea to do a little “lifestyle planning” before leaving your job. What sorts of activities will fill your days once work isn’t there to provide structure? Where will you live? Will you work part-time? Maybe move in and out of the workforce? Do volunteer work? But these sorts of issues are especially important for anyone contemplating early retirement. After all, someone who’s 55 still has plenty of life to live, things to accomplish and lots to contribute. (At least that’s what this 55-year-old thinks.) So I’d be surprised if you’re going to devote yourself solely to leisure activities for the next several decades. More likely, you’ll want to engage in some sort of work - maybe try a new occupation or start your own business or just pick up jobs occasionally to keep yourself engaged. And this is where the financial and lifestyle aspects of retirement intersect. If, after doing the sort of analysis I described above, you find that early retirement looks a bit iffy, a few lifestyle adjustments might increase the odds of it panning out. The extra bucks you earn from taking a part-time job early in retirement, for example, could allow you to cut back on drawing from your savings enough to significantly boost the number of years your money will last. And although finding a retirement job that offers health benefits is no cinch, you might be able to find one that at least allows you to pick up coverage at a group rate that’s lower than what you’ll pay for a private policy. Bottom line: Determining whether you can pull off early retirement is a financial issue, but your willingness to be flexible in terms of your retirement lifestyle also plays a key role. So start taking a hard look at both those areas now. The sooner you do, the sooner you’ll see whether an early exit is a real possibility, and the more time you’ll have to make any adjustments you might need to make to turn your early retirement dream into reality. Got a question? Ask the expert. Filed under Uncategorized
Wondering where to put that extra cash? Before you buy a flat screen, try these suggestions and improve your long-term financial well-being. Question: I’m thinking of using my stimulus check to make my home more energy efficient. Do you think this is wise choice, and do you have suggestions for other ways to use this extra money? -D.D. Answer: I’m glad you asked because in a rare display of bureaucratic efficiency, it appears the federal government is actually getting those economic stimulus payments out ahead of schedule. Which means two things: First, you may find yourself on the receiving end of a check or direct deposit from the IRS of anywhere from $300 to $1,200 (plus a possible $300 per qualifying child) sooner than you think, if indeed you haven’t gotten the payment already. (The IRS Web site has a calculator that estimates your payment.) Second, it means that people in the more than 130 million American households eligible for these payments will soon be asking themselves much the same question you pose: What should I do with this little windfall? Well, the honchos down Washington - not mention the nation’s retailers - are hoping you’ll quickly spend this manna from DC and in so doing, rejuvenate the flagging economy. And if that’s what you’ve decided to do with this extra cash - or, given the rising price of food and other living expenses, that’s what you have to do with it - fine. But if you’re in a position to do otherwise, I don’t think it would be unpatriotic to use this money to improve your financial prospects. Certainly your idea of using the stimulus rebate to boost the energy efficiency of your home in the face of increasingly burdensome energy costs can be one way to both spend and invest your money, although I caution you that there are also plenty of people out there touting all sorts of energy-saving home improvements and products that may take decades to generate a decent return. Keep in mind that the extent to which those savings enhance your financial security depends on what you do with the extra cash. If lower utility bills allow you to increase your contributions to a 401(k), that’s great. If the savings end up going to more lattes, then I’d say the long-term benefit is more tenuous. So if you’re looking to really turn this bonus of sorts to your financial advantage, I’d be more inclined to consider moves where the payoff is more direct and easily quantified. Here are some suggestions. Pay down debt. It’s no secret that a rising tide of borrowing helped fuel the last economic boom - and contributed to its demise. So if you went a little crazy during the good years and piled on too much credit-card, home-equity or other debt, this rebate check could be a good way to lighten the load. To get the biggest bang for your loan-repayment buck, start with debt that carries the highest rate (most likely credit cards, which charge an average rate of 12%) and then move on to lower-rate loans. Of course, this move will pay off even more if you keep your debt under control once you’ve pared it down. You can then apply the money that used to go toward repaying loans to one of options below. Build an emergency reserve. With the economy flagging and it looking more and more like we’re sliding into recession, it’s even more important than usual to have a cushion of ready cash equal to three months’ of living expenses that can help tide you over a layoff or other financial setback. If you don’t have such a reserve, your stimulus payment can be your first step to building one. Remember, this is money you have to depend on in a pinch, so you want to keep it in a secure place where it won’t get hammered if the financial markets head south. For the most part, that means keeping it in a short-term bank CD or a money-market fund run by a well-known investment firm. You can check out CD rates and compare yields on money-market funds on sites like Bankrate.com. Invest it. If you’ve got your debt under control and have a decent emergency fund, then why not use this government grant of sorts to either start an investing program or add to one you already have? You don’t have to do anything fancy. Indeed, given the recent experience of how supposedly sophisticated investors got tripped up by securities backed by subprime debt, I think simpler is better. There are no guarantees, of course, but if you stick with a mix of low-cost mutual funds with solid track records like the ones you’ll find on our Money 70 list of recommended funds, you should do just fine. Invest it in an IRA. As long as you’re investing your check, why not consider investing it in an IRA and improve your retirement prospects at the same time? And assuming you qualify you can also get a nice tax deduction (if you do a traditional IRA) or enjoy tax-free withdrawals down the road (if you opt for a Roth IRA). And you may be able to cash in on another tax bennie. If your income falls below certain thresholds, the Saver’s Credit program can provide a tax credit of up to 50% of your contribution to an IRA or other retirement accounts up to a maximum credit of $1,000 for singles or $2,000 for married couples. And yes, this credit is in addition to the regular tax benefits IRAs and other retirement accounts offer. Finally, at the risk of sounding preachy, I’ll throw out one more idea. If your finances are pretty solid, you might want to consider donating a portion of this money that you weren’t expecting (at least not until recently) to a charity or a cause that you feel deserves your support. That may not improve your financial well being like the others I’ve suggested, but you may collect dividends in other ways. Got a question? Ask the expert. Filed under Uncategorized
No one can predict what the future holds, so you might be better off hedging your retirement by tax diversifying. Question: I’m 33 and have invested in a Roth IRA for 13 years. This is my only retirement account as I don’t have access to a 401(k). With all the talk of a flat tax and other tax reforms, it seems possible that by the time I retire the income tax could be less of a hit than it is currently. So do you think it would make sense for me to split my IRA contributions between traditional and Roth IRAs? —Michael, Portland, Oregon Answer: Let me start by saying that I have no special insights into what type of income tax regime a future administration might propose and that Congress might enact. I suspect that given how entrenched the current tax system is and how many different interest groups have a stake in keeping the status quo that the chances for a radical overhaul are slim. And given the looming shortfalls in programs like Social Security and Medicare, I would also expect that if we do stick with the current system that tax rates would more likely rise than fall in the future. But I freely admit that I could be underestimating the will for changing a system that is far too complicated, subject to all sorts of manipulation and, perhaps worst of all, wastes an astounding amount of resources when you consider all the time and energy spent by people either trying to comply or evade its provisions. So for all I know, maybe we could eventually end up with a flat tax with a lower rate than many people pay today but with fewer deductions. Or perhaps we’ll get the “fair tax” system that taxes consumption. Or maybe Congress will pass a “Just send us your paycheck, we’ll take what we need and send you back the rest” tax. (Okay, I made that last one up.) But even if some crystal ball could tell you what sort of system we’ll have in the future, I doubt that it would also be able to foretell all the details that will eventually determine the rate you’ll pay - what sorts of exemptions and exclusions might apply or what length of transition period we might have. So what does all this mean for your situation? Well, as I’ve noted before, although there are some additional wrinkles involved in deciding between a regular IRA and a Roth (or a regular 401(k) and a Roth, for that matter), you’re generally better off doing a Roth if you expect to be in the same or higher tax bracket when you withdraw your money, while the regular IRA is generally the better deal if you expect to be in a lower tax bracket at withdrawal compared to when you put your money in. But given how difficult it is to forecast future tax rates, I wouldn’t want to put all my money behind the assumption of higher or lower rates. Which is why I advocate “tax diversification.” The idea is that, come retirement time, you want some money in tax-deferred accounts that will be taxed at ordinary income rates. Some in Roth accounts that will be tax-free. And while you’re at it, I think it’s a good idea to have some investments in taxable accounts that are subject to the long-term capital gains tax rate. I’m not saying this strategy is foolproof. I don’t for a minute underestimate Congress’s inventiveness when it comes to ways of squeezing more revenue out of us. But you can’t cover every contingency, and I believe the approach above is a reasonable one given your options. All of which is to say that I think your instinct to hedge your bets by having money in both a Roth and a traditional IRA is a good one. There are any number of ways you might pull off this strategy, and I’ve laid out one method in a previous column. In the case of a person like you who is young and presumably has decent prospects for a rising income, I’d probably be more inclined to stick to the Roth for now on the theory that you still have plenty of time to build tax-deferred accounts. You can always fund a regular IRA later if you’re in a higher tax bracket. Or you may have an opportunity to fund a tax-deferred 401(k) later on if you switch jobs. But if you’re anxious about having your entire retirement stash in a Roth and would like to start this process of diversifying your tax exposure sooner, I think that’s a perfectly reasonable decision as well. Essentially, it’s a judgment call. Ultimately, you have no control as an individual over what tax system or tax rates you’ll face in the future. But you do have control over how much you save. So whatever you do, make sure that you continue to fund some sort of IRA to the max every year. Otherwise, your nest egg may not be large enough to support you in retirement whatever your tax rate turns out be.
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A variable annuity inside of an IRA is usually not a good move. But there are a few ways to get out. Sign up for the Ask the Expert e-mail newsletter Question: On the recommendation of my financial adviser, I recently moved my 401(k) into a variable annuity within an IRA rollover account. I now know that this was not a great move. But I’m not sure how to get the money out of the annuity, nor do I know what doing so will cost me. What should I do? —Gregory P. Answer: When it comes to financial products that are sold via dubious sales pitches, annuities rank right up there at the top of the list. You’ve got one group of salespeople out there pushing all manner of questionable annuities to seniors at free lunch seminars, a tactic I’ve warned about for years and that the people at Dateline NBC recently covered in a hidden-camera investigation. And then there are advisers trying to convince people like you that instead of simply moving your 401(k) funds into an IRA account funded with mutual funds or ETFs, you’re better off putting your 401(k) money into an IRA rollover and investing the funds in a variable annuity. That’s not to say that an annuity can’t be a reasonable investment for IRA rollover money. For example, I’ve long suggested that a plain old immediate annuity – a.k.a an income or payout annuity - can be a reasonable choice when you’re retired or on the verge of retirement and you want to assure that you’ll have income for the rest of your life. At that point, depending on your situation, it can make sense to invest a portion of your 401(k) or IRA stash in this type of annuity that’s still held inside an IRA account. But many advisers these days want to get your IRA rollover money into an annuity well before you need regular income. On the face of it, though, that makes little sense. True, investment gains aren’t taxed as long as they remain inside the annuity. But money within an IRA is already sheltered from taxes, so you don’t need the tax-deferral benefit of an annuity when you’re dealing with IRA funds. So instead advisers typically make the case for holding a variable annuity within an IRA by touting a variety of riders and special features, including the GMIB (guaranteed minimum income benefit) or the GMWB (guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit). But as I’ve noted before, annuities that include the GMIB or GMWB feature have several drawbacks, including poorly disclosed annual fees that often top 2% a year. That sort of expense drag can limit the growth of your nest egg during your career and impair its ability to generate retirement income that will stand up to inflation over the long term. Which brings us back to your situation: How do you get your IRA money out of the annuity? Since the annuity is in an IRA account, you should be able to move your money without triggering any taxes by doing a trustee-to-trustee transfer to a new IRA rollover account. You could then invest in something other than an annuity. But there’s a hitch. Nearly all annuities have surrender charges. These charges usually start at 7% to 10% a year and gradually decline until they disappear in eight to 10 years, although they can be higher and last longer. (In the case of a variable annuity, these charges are spelled out in the prospectus. In other annuities, you can check the contract.) You may be able to sidestep these charges by invoking the annuity’s “free look” period - that is, a specific time during which you can return the annuity, typically for its contract value or your original contribution. Unfortunately, that period is usually only 10 days, although it can be longer in some states. (To see how long you have in your state, ask your state insurance department.) If the free-look has expired, there may be another way for you to transfer at least some of your money into another IRA account without incurring onerous surrender fees. Most annuities allow you to withdrawal a certain amount each year (usually 10% of your account value) without paying surrender charges. The specifics are spelled out in the prospectus or contract. So by taking advantage of this “surrender free” option, you can at least start moving some of your money out of the annuity into another IRA account and then transfer the remainder when the surrender charges have disappeared or at least dropped to a less burdensome level. Of course, you could also go back to the adviser who sold you the annuity, explain why you think it was inappropriate and simply ask him or her to reverse the transaction without penalty. I doubt that this will work, but it can’t hurt to try. If you really feel that you were duped or misled in some way, then I definitely think you should complain to the regulators who oversee annuities and annuity sales. That would be the Securities and Exchange Commission, FINRA, your state securities regulator and your state insurance department. Even if doing this doesn’t help you, your grievance along with the complaints of others might lead to tougher oversight of annuity sales so that fewer people will find themselves in your position in the future. Got a question? Ask the expert. Filed under Uncategorized
You don’t have to be Warren Buffett to secure a decent nest egg. Saving early and often is more important than picking the right investments. Question: I will be graduating from college in May and starting my first full-time job. I want to start saving correctly so I can prepare for my future. What is the best way to do this? —Matt, Lansing, Michigan Answer: Before I give you an answer, let me just say that I love your question. Why? Well, most people looking for advice about saving for retirement or achieving financial security immediately begin asking about investing. How can I find the best stocks? Which mutual funds should I buy? Foreign stocks or domestic? Taxable bonds or munis? Real estate or gold? The presumption is that the road to wealth and security starts with picking the best investments. You, on the other hand, are seeking advice about the true way to improve your odds of achieving financial security: adopting a disciplined savings strategy. I don’t want to suggest that investing isn’t important. Clearly, you want to earn a decent return and see your money grow. But what you really need to rev up the engine of wealth generation is regular saving. If you don’t have a decent sum to invest, then all the investing savvy in the world, to paraphrase Bogey in Casablanca, won’t amount to a hill of beans. Indeed, researchers at Putnam Investments did a neat study a couple of years ago that illustrated this simple truth. They created a hypothetical “Average Joe” who not only contributed very little to his 401(k) but also had the misfortune of investing too conservatively and being a lousy fund picker to boot. They then examined the effect that a better asset mix, wiser fund choices and a higher contribution rate would have on his 401(k) balance. Each move increased his account’s value. But contrary to what most people would expect, the biggest boost came from plowing more dough into his 401(k). Unfortunately, many people don’t seem to grasp the concept that it’s all got to start with saving. So instead of living on less than they earn and sock away money on a regular basis, they live large, run up their credit card debt, borrow against their home equity - and then obsess about getting a high return on their paltry savings. Which brings me back to you. You seem to get it. Your question suggests that you understand that to assure your financial future you’ve got to get into the habit of regular saving today. So how do you do that? The single best way is to sign up for your 401(k) or similar plan at work. The beauty of workplace retirement savings plans is that they make saving automatic, which allows you to set the money aside before you get a chance to spend it. Whether your company offers a regular 401(k) or a Roth version, sign up and then try to contribute at least enough to take full advantage of any employer match. One caveat, though. More and more 401(k) plans these days automatically put you into the plan. That’s good, especially for young people like you who are more likely to skip enrolling since retirement seems like a far-off mirage. But the default contribution rate may be something like a measly 3% to 6%. You’ll probably want to do more. Consult an online calculator if you’re not sure how much. If you don’t have access to a 401(k) or similar plan - or you want to save more to increase your odds of achieving financial security - you can sign up for an automatic investing plan at most mutual fund firms. You agree to have a certain amount - say, $50, $100, $500, whatever you can afford - transferred from your checking account into your fund account each month. You can do this with a fund that’s part of a traditional IRA or Roth IRA account (assuming you qualify, or you can invest in a fund in a plain old taxable account. Now, if you’re one of those types who is motivated enough to sign up for your 401(k) or open up an automatic investing plan simply because you know it’s the right thing to do, good for you. But some people need more incentive. Some of us may even have to resort to fooling ourselves into saving. If you’re one of those people, you may want to check out some additional savings techniques I outlined in a recent column. Some of these techniques are a bit, shall we say, unconventional, like creating a contract to save a certain amount each month and agreeing to pay a penalty of $100, $500 or whatever if you don’t reach your target. But sometimes you gotta do what you gotta do to sock those bucks away. Again, I don’t want to suggest that you should ignore investing. But all you really need to do to succeed on that front is settle on a reasonable asset mix, invest in some decent low-cost funds like those in our Money 70 and then make sure you don’t sabotage yourself by buying into the fads and gimmicky products that Wall Street specializes in churning out. So start saving early and often. If you do that, financial security will follow. Filed under Uncategorized
It’s tough to watch your funds losing value in a tough market, but cashing out an IRA before you’ve reached retirement age is going to hurt you even more. Sign up for the Ask the Expert e-mail newsletter Question: I’m 57 and retired and the value of my IRA rollover keeps going down. Should I just take my money out now and pay any charges, or should I just let it sit and lose more money as stocks decline? –Lloyd, Niles, Michigan Answer: How about doing neither? You present this situation as if you have only two choices. That’s not the case, though, which is good for you since I don’t think either of the courses of action you’re considering are very good. Let’s deal with the first option, just cashing out your IRA rollover. That would be about the absolute worst thing you could do. Why? Well, first you would owe taxes on whatever portion of your account’s value consists of pre-tax contributions and investment gains (which, if you’re like most people, means all or nearly all of your account balance). What’s more, since you’re under age 59 1/2, you would also owe a 10% penalty for early withdrawal of your IRA funds. Besides, even if you pull the money from your IRA, you still have to address the question of how to re-invest that money. In short, you would be in the same position you’re in now, except that you would have given up a big chunk of your account to the IRS and you would no longer enjoy tax-deferred compounding on any gains your IRA might generate in the future. Now let’s examine your second option, just letting your money sit where it is. That’s definitely a better choice than cashing out, since you’re retaining the tax advantages of an IRA. And, on the surface at least, this option could be a sensible move. After all, investment advisers often tell their clients that “staying the course” is the best approach in uncertain and volatile times like these. But advice like “stay the course” makes sense only if you’ve gone into the downturn with a bona fide investment strategy that you set in advance. If you have created a diversified mix of stocks and bonds that’s appropriate given your age, goals, risk tolerance and time horizon - and you believe your strategy still makes sense - then by all means hang in there. You don’t want to abandon a sensible long-term strategy just because of short-term turmoil. But the fact is that many investors haven’t gone into this market downturn with a coherent strategy. Many people don’t have a well-thought-out portfolio. They have a haphazard collection of investments that they chose because a particular stock was mentioned by some pundit on TV or because a fund popped up on list of a top performers. In short, they haven’t employed the concept of asset allocation to create a portfolio with different investments that work together and hedge risk. A hodgepodge of holdings can generate decent returns when a rising market is lifting all boats. But it can get swamped by losses and leave you floundering when the investing seas get turbulent. So what do I recommend you do? Well, if your IRA funds are actually part of a well-balanced portfolio that you put together before this downturn began and you think that your mix still makes sense, then I don’t see any reason to begin making radical moves. You may continue to take some losses, but it’s more important that you’re solidly positioned for the long-term. I think you’re better off sticking with your plan than trying to figure out where to move your money every time market conditions change. That’s a futile guessing game. But if you don’t have an actual investing strategy - and judging by your question I suspect you don’t - then the first thing you need to do is create one. Begin by thinking about your goals. Since this is an IRA we’re talking about and you’re 57, I assume you’ll be relying on this money for income throughout retirement. That means you want enough of your IRA in bonds to provide some ballast in times like these, but you also want to own stocks that can provide long-term growth to maintain your purchasing power in the face of inflation. After all, you may be spending 30 or more years in retirement. Generally, I’d say that someone your age should have roughly 60% or so of his portfolio in a broadly diversified group of stocks or stock funds (large and small stocks, growth and value) and 40% in bonds (most likely short- to intermediate-term so you don’t get clobbered if interest rates rise). But you can adjust your mix based, among other things, on what other resources you have to draw on for retirement income and how much additional risk you’re willing to take for extra return or how much return you’re willing to give up for greater security. If you’re not comfortable with the idea of building your own portfolio, then you might consider investing your IRA in a target-retirement fund. You simply choose a fund with a date that roughly corresponds to the year you plan to retire, and you get a stocks-bonds mix appropriate for your age. By the way, one other advantage of keeping your money in an account like an IRA is that you can rejigger your portfolio if necessary without fear of generating a tax bill, as you don’t pay tax until you withdraw your money. So banish any thoughts about cashing out your IRA or shifting your money around every time the market soars or dives. Instead, take the portfolio-building approach I recommend. It won’t completely immunize you from short-term losses, but it can offer enough protection to get you through difficult times like these while also positioning you to capitalize on the eventual rebound. Got a question? Ask the expert. Filed under Uncategorized
Individual trading comes with many caveats. Most investors would do better investing in index funds. Sign up for the Ask the Expert e-mail newsletter Question: I do a lot of stock trading online, but then I see my profits eaten away by taxes. What can I do to avoid that? –Yaseen Qureshi, Cincinnati, Ohio Answer: How about not trading so frequently? I’m not being flippant. I’m totally serious. Aside from the fact that high tax rates on short-term gains can seriously undermine your performance, there’s also a body of research that suggests that more active investors generally fare worse than those who are more restrained - and those who trade the most tend to do the worst of all. One reason for this “the more you trade, the farther you fall behind” syndrome is overconfidence. Investors who trade tend to overestimate the value of the information they have, with the result that the stocks they buy as replacements often fare worse than the stocks they sold. Then there are transaction costs, which drag down returns. True, online trading has dramatically lowered the cost of brokerage commissions. Even so, brokerage fees haven’t completely disappeared, plus investors also incur other transaction costs, such as the bid-ask spread, essentially a mark-up brokerage firms charge in additional commissions. These costs act as a significant drag on performance over time. And although I’m sure that you and many other traders probably consider yourselves savvy stock pickers able to sift through the thousands of choices out there to find the best buys, research shows that investors don’t usually cast a very wide net. Instead, they tend to buy the stocks that are often in the news. Not surprisingly, these attention-getting stocks are the ones that have been most scrutinized and whose prices are most likely to reflect their actual value, thus offering the least potential for outsize returns. Add up all these factors - the overconfidence, the trading costs, the narrow focus - and it’s already difficult for investors to outperform passive indexes like the Standard & Poor’s 500 or the Russell 2000, benchmarks for large and small stocks respectively. Throw in the effect of taxes on short-term trading - profits on sales of stocks held a year or less are taxed at rates as high as 35% versus a max of 15% for those held longer than a year - and you’ve got an even higher hurdle to overcome. University of California-Berkeley finance professor Terrance Odean has written extensively about the performance of individual investors. If you’re so inclined, you can read about the deleterious effects of rapid trading and taxes at his web site. But I find that many people are unmoved by such research, perhaps because they believe that they’re the exception to the rule. So here’s another suggestion: if you aren’t already doing so, keep records of all your trades and calculate your profits and losses after all costs. By looking at how your trades fared over the same time period compared to the return of a relevant index, such as the S&P 500 for large stocks or the Russell 2000 for small shares, you can get a pretty decent sense of whether you’re adding any value after accounting for costs (except, of course, the cost of your own time). It’s more difficult to calculate the return of your portfolio overall - particularly if you’re adding new money or withdrawing funds over time - but you can do it by using a financial calculator or by consulting investment performance web sites. If after keeping track of your portfolio over several years you find that you can consistently beat the indexes, congrats. Maybe you’re one of those rare individuals who possess the insights and skill to beat the market on an ongoing basis. But if you find that’s not the case - or you’re not willing to track your performance carefully enough to understand how you’re really doing - then you might want to consider abandoning the trading game and simply investing in broad-based index funds or ETFs. You’ll get a diversified portfolio with low cost, plus a shot at higher after-tax gains, since index funds and ETFs tend to generate taxable distributions less frequently than other funds. One final note: if you insist on continuing to trade, you may at least want to confine your buying and selling as much as possible to tax-deferred accounts like a 401(k) or IRA. Doing that won’t help the basic issue of poor performance associated with trading, but at least you can postpone taxes on any gains you do manage to generate until you eventually make withdrawals from your account. Got a question? Ask the expert.
Filed under Uncategorized
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